Threat, damage, challenge or crisis, is the question raised today, after all the explanations, justifications, slanders and criticisms regarding the future and the outcome of the current situation of the country.
In fact, the more precise question is what are the approaches facing Iran in the current imposed conditions, especially after the United States withdrew from the JCPOA?
Regardless of whether each of these policies and approaches may be expedient or not, have popular support or not, and have strong and vocal supporters or not, the first priority is to initiate a discussion among the academic and expert body on one level and public opinion and civil society on another level, and to derive an approach that can bring the greatest and widest benefits to the country.
But at the same time, what Iran's foreign policy apparatus can do is make minimal contacts with the White House in a way that does not tie its hands to negotiate with them and, in this way, does not show the stage to the other side of the game table (i.e. the Democrats and, following them, Europe and China) as devoid of potential rivals and threats, but can simultaneously sell its non-negotiation to them in cash and receive concessions. If it can be played this way, with the Democrats reaching each seat of power - from Congress to the Senate and the presidency - Iran can, by expanding its national interests without paying further costs, solve its strategic problems with the Western world, and especially the United States, from the point of maximum difference between the two power blocs in America and keep its concessions in hand. This is, of course, the same game of power position due to the difference between the two rivals; something that the West, and especially England, have done a lot in Iran in our history. Our diplomatic history is not one of these examples: for example, Qavam al-Saltaneh's negotiations with Stalin and the retaking of Azerbaijan due to the competition between the Soviet Union and the United States, when Iran was in a much weaker position in terms of power inputs than it is today, and even the subject of negotiations was occupied territory. Today, thanks to the childish policies of Donald Trump, America's biggest rival is this country itself. The time of maximum disagreement between the Obama faction - which still claims power - and the Trump team, as the two ends of the American political spectrum, is one of the few moments when the power of the United States can be used against itself: a knife that is exceptionally cutting its own handle should not be seen too often. If Obama and his flexible team provided Iran with an opportunity with their extremely liberal policies (by American standards), and Iran’s relative use of this opportunity increased the country’s international legitimacy and created strategic cracks among world powers and America’s allies, the Trump administration today can also be seen as an opportunity for us due to its childish excesses and domestic and international animosity. This, of course, requires both diplomatic skill and adopting a correct strategy based on national interests. Few people doubt the first point, namely the diplomatic skill of the team based in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and in the second case, given the examples we have witnessed in recent years, we can hope to witness pragmatism based on national interests, albeit in an idealistic form. We must turn Trump’s threat into an opportunity with a little patience and proper play and make the most of this opportunity. In the meantime, we must look inward as much as possible and rebuild trust and hope, perhaps even national vulnerability. This is not really difficult; Removing some domestic restrictions, utilizing the young, expert, and world-minded generation, and instilling hope among the nation again, if such a will exists, is not impossible at the moment. Taking advantage of the current international situation, potentially and subject to the above conditions, can not only lead to a return to the JCPOA and the lifting of sanctions, but also, at the lowest cost, to the removal of all restrictions on the issue of the past four decades.
Shargh Daily link
File
