The diplomatic expert said: Mr. Borrell's remarks yesterday should be evaluated in the same context that he is impatiently awaiting a positive response from the United States and in any case, the conclusion of the negotiations within the next few weeks. Borrell has tried to pressure the United States to accelerate and facilitate the progress of the agreement.
Sasan Karimi, a postdoctoral researcher at the Department of North American Studies at the University of Tehran, in an interview with an ILNA reporter, in response to the question of what is your opinion about Josep Borrell's new statements that Iran's response to the Agency's proposals is reasonable and is waiting for the US proposal and that a meeting is scheduled to be held soon in Vienna to conclude the negotiations? He said: I consider the European Union to have the greatest motivation to revive the JCPOA. China is somewhat neutral, Russia's positions are largely clear, mostly in the form of "discontent", Iran has an economic incentive to revive the JCPOA, and the US under the Biden administration, although it is not "disinterested" in reviving the JCPOA, pretends not to need it either.
He added: "Given Israel's dissatisfaction and the influence of lobbies such as AIPAC in foreign policy and especially domestic policy of the United States, it is not possible to be sure whether the revival of the JCPOA in the domestic political arena of the United States will ultimately benefit the Democratic Party and the current US government or harm them."
Karimi clarified: "However, due to the crisis it has suffered in the east of this continent, Europe is first trying to resolve a security issue in a sensitive region through diplomacy, which is the least expensive method." On the other hand, despite the fact that Iran is currently unable to export gas to Europe, the analysis in the Green Continent is that the official supply of Iranian oil, the increase in its actual supply, and the psychological atmosphere surrounding it will reduce energy prices in the coming months, and this is to the benefit of Europe. The third motivation of Europe is exports to Iran, especially industrial items, which will not be out of the question with the lifting of sanctions and the return of oil money to Iran. These three motivations, in the face of the lack of motivation or with the motivation of other parties, especially Iran and the United States, Europe has taken the initiative in the new round and is trying to bring the issue closer to a result by putting the text on the table as soon as possible and setting a time for responding.
He added: Mr. Borrell's words yesterday should be evaluated in this framework, which is impatiently awaiting a positive response from the United States and in any case, the conclusion of the negotiations within the next few weeks. Borrell has tried to pressure the United States to accelerate and facilitate the progress of the agreement.
In response to the question of what the US response to the European and Iranian proposals will be, Karimi said: This is truly a million-dollar question whose definitive answer "is not with anyone." That is, even those who have written or transmitted the text of Iran's response at the highest level and the Europeans who are aware of it, do not really know what response will be received from the United States.
He clarified: Finally, we know that Iran, in its response, has raised new points, questions or demands that are written outside the proposed text. There is a possibility of acceptance, complete rejection or a middle position from the US. But overall, one cannot emphasize too much on the optimistic or pessimistic versions, and it seems that the US position will probably contain points that require negotiation or messaging. But it is clear that the US is under pressure from Israel and Europe to conclude these negotiations.
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